Many people think that vape will completely replace cigarettes, and some people think that vape will never replace cigarettes, but will only become a supplementary product of the tobacco industry. So what will be the future trend of vape?
As for the future trend of vape, I personally think that it has several related conditions that constrain its direction. One is the change of regulatory policies, and the other two are smokers’ recognition of the safety of vape and the growth of major consumer groups. The following is this A few points are discussed in detail.
1: Changes in regulatory policies;
In view of the harmfulness of tobacco, in 2003, the World Health Organization passed the first global tobacco control international convention "World Health Organization Framework Convention on Tobacco Control", which made requirements for reducing tobacco supply and demand, global tobacco control scientific and technological cooperation, and government legislation. As of 2018, 181 countries have acceded to the Convention, covering more than 90% of the world's population, making it one of the international conventions with the largest number of countries in the world.
At the national level, countries have successively promulgated tobacco control laws and regulations, and made clear policy regulations on all aspects of tobacco production and sales. With the joint efforts of all countries in the world, in 2017, among the 79 major tobacco-consuming countries in the world, the consumption of cigarettes in 62 countries is declining, while the consumption of cigarettes in 17 countries is increasing, especially in economically developed countries. Cigarette consumption fell even more sharply. The background of global tobacco control provides market space for the rise of new tobacco.
2: Smokers' recognition of the safety of vape;
With the promotion of tobacco control policies and the gradual deepening of education on the harm of traditional cigarettes to the human body, more and more tobacco consumers have begun to increase their health awareness. 51% of consumers believe that vape consumption is healthier than regular cigarettes, and 49% of consumers believe that using vape can help them quit smoking.
The biggest key to the safety of vape is e-liquid. The safety of vape is relatively easy to solve, but the safety of e-liquid is more difficult. Different flavors will bring different hazards. For hundreds of thousands of different vapes on the market The taste of e-liquid, how does the e-liquid manufacturer identify its safety, its safe amount, and what are the different effects of different flavor combinations? Identifying their safety is a complex and lengthy process.
In addition to testing the substance data of vape smoke, vape manufacturers also have long-term monitoring of the health status of users for a long time. Studies have shown that although vape is also harmful to health, the content of harmful substances in traditional cigarettes such as carbon monoxide, tar, formaldehyde, and acetaldehyde is greatly reduced, and some indicators are even less than 10% of traditional cigarettes. The heat-not-burn tobacco represented by IQOS contains less than 10% of the harmful substances of traditional cigarettes, and only 2% of individual items. New tobacco can not only meet the consumption needs of smokers, but also reduce the degree of harm to health, which is also an important reason for its rapid popularity in recent years.
3: Growth of major groups;
The main user group of vape is young people, because young people are more likely to accept this fashionable Xinyi. The older you get, the harder it is to accept new things. Even smokers are no exception. They love the same brand of cigarettes all their lives and never change them. Therefore, for a long time to come, the main users of vape will still be young people.
According to the habit of using it, in the future decades, vape will be common in all kinds of young, middle-aged, and elderly people. Perhaps by then, vape will be able to compete with cigarettes.
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